ACUS11 KWNS 092246
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092245=20
KSZ000-NEZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-100045-

Mesoscale Discussion 1051
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0545 PM CDT Tue Jun 09 2026

Areas affected...portions of eastern Colorado...western and central Kansas...the Panhandles and northeastern New Mexico

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 293...295...

Valid 092245Z - 100045Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 293, 295
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe wind gusts and hail remain likely with numerous
strong to severe storms this afternoon and evening.

DISCUSSION...Across WW293 and WW295, numerous strong to severe
storms are ongoing with reports of damaging gusts and some hail over
the last couple of hours. Much of the air mass remains strongly
mixed, but with sufficient buoyancy for strong updrafts. This will
support the risk for severe winds given the steep low-level lapse
rates and observed cluster storm mode. Occasional hail is also
possible given the stronger updrafts, though buoyancy will be
somewhat of a limiting factor.

The easternmost storms have begun to encounter greater buoyancy over
parts of western and central KS. Occasional supercell structures
have also been noted which, along with the increased buoyancy may
also favor a locally greater risk for large hail over the next
couple of hours.

..Lyons.. 06/09/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8mt7v02NB1YZnG68CvZ0bYTOnEB3PWPaMbzAeRNXEdsHop_fkfpGCe1eE2ykKrPBEZc-pgTG3= eCzKAqQTyD0YXPk2ko$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...
ABQ...

LAT...LON 37470347 39470195 40160163 40230044 40089757 38069784
37699820 37129915 36800069 35560306 35500371 36090376
37470347=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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