ACUS11 KWNS 100613
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100612=20
MNZ000-100815-

Mesoscale Discussion 1058
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0112 AM CDT Wed Jun 10 2026

Areas affected...Portions of southern and central Minnesota

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 298...

Valid 100612Z - 100815Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 298
continues.

SUMMARY...Damaging winds, large hail, and a conditional tornado
threat will exist with storms moving into central Minnesota tonight.
Local extensions of WW 298 and/or a new watch may be needed.

DISCUSSION...Storms in southwest Minnesota are expected to continue
moving northeastward tonight. Moderate to strong buoyancy and
effective shear of 30-35 kt will support a threat for damaging winds
and large hail with the strongest storms. The KMPX VAD does show
enlarged hodographs. A tornado would be conditionally possible in
this environment. That said, the low-level thermodynamic environment
is only marginally favorable tonight given the presence of at least
modest MLCIN. How far east the strongest activity will reach is also
a question as the environment becomes less favorable near the
Mississippi River. Local extensions of WW 298 and/or a new watch may
be needed as storms develop northeastward.

..Wendt.. 06/10/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-HqtgJukCHBZq8omliarOnGGdumMhVq8pinOtaMY8OIpWo1Pqez_RNjiZ2u-v9vPSeMy4PRPI= UbT4E4DZ-yzTsDWxhY$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...FSD...

LAT...LON 43649399 43719474 44139535 44739630 45209588 45849486
45699388 45389348 44949322 44049359 43649399=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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