ACUS11 KWNS 112024
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 112023=20
INZ000-MIZ000-112200-

Mesoscale Discussion 1094
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0323 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

Areas affected...northern Indiana and southwestern Michigan

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 112023Z - 112200Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Some threat for continued severe wind gusts will persist
into northern Indiana and southwestern Michigan, but the overall
risk should diminish in the next few hours. A watch appears unlikely
at this time.

DISCUSSION...An organized line of storms persists in northwestern
IN, moving east-northeastward at around 35 kts. There are some
deeper updrafts within the complex, and the cold pool appears fairly
well organized with some enhanced inflow notches evident per KLOT
radar imagery. It is riding along the northern periphery of the warm
sector with moisture-rich air to the south (dewpoints in the low 70s
F). Bulk shear values are around 40-50 kts but dwindle quickly to
the east. As the system continues propagating eastward away from the
mid-level jet core, gradual weakening is anticipated in the next few
hours. This is supported by the latest WoFS guidance. However, some
wind threat might persist in the short term given the relatively
organized cold pool.

..Flournoy/Gleason.. 06/11/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8BIrdV0ki9LDvpR4o3su_39FRZMRCWG-DrA7n2f9RhE4Mts2rmrLmVrUKY_edo7b8HhPdzbkv= KGm7DJ0Ryb_xfG5XH8$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...

LAT...LON 40278675 40568743 41298729 41868706 41998682 42188592
41998506 41248494 40618573 40278675=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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