• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0583

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Apr 28 01:08:50 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 280108
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 280108=20
    INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-280245-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0583
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0808 PM CDT Mon Apr 27 2026

    Areas affected...west-central IN...central/southern
    IL...east-central MO

    Concerning...Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm Watches
    160...162...163...165...

    Valid 280108Z - 280245Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado and Severe Thunderstorm
    Watches 160, 162, 163, 165 continues.

    SUMMARY...Damaging wind threat increasing as a organized QLCS
    advances eastward through the evening. Some QLCS tornado risk may
    continue across parts of central/southern IL into east-central MO.

    DISCUSSION...A well-developed QLCS extending from west-central IN
    through central IL into east-central MO will continue eastward
    through the evening. As this line has become better organized as it
    moves into an axis of moderate to strong instability overlapping a
    40+ kt low level jet, swaths of damaging winds will be possible.
    Additionally, low-level shear remains favorable (0-1 km SRH greater
    than 300 m2/s2) for tornadoes and a few QLCS mesovortex tornadoes
    will also be possible. New watch issuance or local extension of
    existing tornado watches will likely be needed soon.

    ..Leitman.. 04/28/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8irq5phrgNH-_eghthsHdlyKmYqZoJcfUEV5h-nrLy0ZoLmUrLhdFObwscXnAZ_keZVy_v1lI= SUsMDqRqQ-hL_5KLXM$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...SGF...

    LAT...LON 39898874 40458762 40438704 40288675 39978665 39638668
    38938720 38338789 37728897 37389007 37499079 37709128
    38109089 39898874=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-145 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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    * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)