• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0608

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Apr 29 00:02:30 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 290002
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 290002=20
    TXZ000-290200-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0608
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0702 PM CDT Tue Apr 28 2026

    Areas affected...North Central TX

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 171...

    Valid 290002Z - 290200Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 171 continues.

    SUMMARY...An intense supercell producing very large hail and
    damaging winds will continue southeastward. Other isolated cells
    may affect areas to west near Eastland and Stephenville.

    DISCUSSION...An intense supercell with a long history of very large
    and damaging hail is currently located in Johnson county TX. This
    cell will continue to track southeastward for the next 1-2 hours
    into a very moist and unstable air mass. Shear profiles are
    sufficient for all severe modes, including wind-driven significant
    hail and occasional tornadoes.

    New storms have formed on the western flank of the large supercell,
    over Stephens and Palo Pinto counties. These storms appear to be
    behind the primary outflow of the supercell, but sufficient elevated
    CAPE will pose a risk of large hail from this activity as it sags southeastward.

    ..Hart.. 04/29/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_ffbq8Oz78NcdZyrHLTt2Ucdin4wgqhURwQFHn6N1QmvEm5javAAi4DqH9sRJG0Vr_XEXADj_= M4Qs1MCNfKBQl_UlLA$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...

    LAT...LON 32629761 32319645 31949628 31779633 31679683 32219865
    32529911 32709899 32629761=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.75-4.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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