ACUS11 KWNS 290015
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290015=20
TNZ000-KYZ000-290215-

Mesoscale Discussion 0609
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0715 PM CDT Tue Apr 28 2026

Areas affected...Southern Kentucky and Middle Tennessee

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 176...

Valid 290015Z - 290215Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 176
continues.

SUMMARY...Some damaging wind threat may persist for the next hour or
so, but the overall severe threat will continue to wane across WW
176.

DISCUSSION...Cloud-top warming has been observed in GOES IR imagery
over the past hour or so across Middle TN and southern KY as a
poorly organized convective band continues to spread east/northeast.
MRMS VIL values have also been declining, which also suggests a
steady weakening trend is well underway. Regional radar imagery
depicts a pair of MCVs across the region that may continue to
promote localized ascent as they migrate east into a strongly
sheared air mass with lingering (albeit diminishing) buoyancy.
Consequently, sufficient ascent and shear should remain in place
over the next couple of hours to support sporadic damaging winds
with the more robust convective cells/bands. However, this potential
should continue to steadily diminish through the evening hours as
nocturnal cooling and convective overturning further erode buoyancy.

..Moore.. 04/29/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9MGZi9vFXIY6kyT_ZWo3qHbn7kN435LCRZDFnyostXHGqhwRMn5wHo9jNsS209J-zjMcHNXWK= tVRHrW2JuHIEoAC87M$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...

LAT...LON 35038738 35098762 35248769 35568762 36008755 36268757
36428774 36458797 36538832 36748851 36938843 37098812
37298755 37338672 37208599 36998568 36668552 36218551
35608585 35418604 35048704 35038738=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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