• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0613

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Wed Apr 29 02:29:34 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 290229
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 290228=20
    TXZ000-290430-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0613
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0928 PM CDT Tue Apr 28 2026

    Areas affected...North Central TX

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 178...

    Valid 290228Z - 290430Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 178 continues.

    SUMMARY...Supercells capable of very large hail will continue to
    track southeastward.

    DISCUSSION...Two intense supercells continue to affect parts of
    north-central TX, over Hill/Bosque/Limestone counties. This cluster
    of storms has a long history of significant hail damage during the
    past few hours. CAPE values remain very high, with steep lapse
    rates and strong deep layer shear indicated on the 00z FWD sounding.
    However, cap strength is increasing as the boundary layer slowly
    cools. This is likely to lead to some weakening over the next
    couple of hours. Nevertheless, some severe risk will likely persist
    until at least midnight.

    ..Hart.. 04/29/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5JyxnUsg8ryC4rD4jfTkGMk65JP3b4DVPz-enlhSNpOritSZjqkHaPU4sdXwk1PIHSHdJ8Qxm= wOexg3B0myPgT5wWYY$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...

    LAT...LON 32079763 31989653 31239549 30949649 31349751 32079763=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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